AAII Sentiment indicator

I was a little surprised to see the AAII sentiment survey results this morning.  I had expected to see the Bullish Sentiment back over 40 giving reason to lighten up a bit – but it has dropped down to 31.76%.  This could imply there’s some more gas in the tank and a bit more room to run before taking a rest.

One other point to consider is that this survey was probably completed BEFORE the Fed announcement yesterday – which likely ratcheted up bullish sentiment – but we will not have another read until next Thursday.  So while the print is at 31, yesterday may have taken general sentiment to the mid-30’s+ (if they had drawn another poll last night).  We’ll know more in coming days.  As with all indicators this is a barometer, not a crystal ball.

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