Category: Commentary

The “Curb Your Enthusiasm” Stock Market

In last week’s note, “The 10:3 (Risk to Reward) Stock Market” we made the case that while there was limited upside, the downside risks had increased materially.  You can review it here: Continue reading “The “Curb Your Enthusiasm” Stock Market”

The ‘Short Term’ 10:3 (Risk to Reward) Stock Market

For those of you who have followed us for some time, you know we have been putting out bullish notes since the August 2019 lows.  You can review each weekly note under the “Sentiment” category of the site.  We called for the end of year “melt-up” just a few weeks after the 2/10 yield curve inverted in early August 2019. Continue reading “The ‘Short Term’ 10:3 (Risk to Reward) Stock Market”

February Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey Results (Summary)

Data Source: Bank of America

Each month, Bank of America conducts a survey of ~200 fund managers with > $600B AUM.  Here are the key takeaways from the survey published on Feb 18, 2020: Continue reading “February Bank of America Global Fund Manager Survey Results (Summary)”

The Chris Janson “Good Vibes” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…

This week’s Stock Market commentary and sentiment can best be described by country star Chris Janson’s song, “Good Vibes:”

I ain’t watchin’ TV today
Bad news, it can just stay away
If you ain’t got anything good to say
Then shut your mouth
I got my windows down and my blinders on
Radio set to my favorite song
All green lights on the road I’m on
Man, there ain’t no doubt

Continue reading “The Chris Janson “Good Vibes” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”