Tag: Market Indicator

The “Curb Your Enthusiasm” Stock Market

In last week’s note, “The 10:3 (Risk to Reward) Stock Market” we made the case that while there was limited upside, the downside risks had increased materially.  You can review it here: Continue reading “The “Curb Your Enthusiasm” Stock Market”

Be in the know. 15 key reads for Sunday…

  1. February Expiration Week: S&P 500 Up 12 of Last 14 (Almanac Trader)
  2. How Mega-Influencer Emily Ratajkowski Turns Obsessive Fans Into A Booming Business (Forbes)
  3. Top 11 Must See Yachts At The 2020 Miami Yacht Show (Forbes)
  4. Trump administration eyes 10% middle-class tax cut proposal (Reuters)
  5. Bloomberg Spent More Than $1 Million On That Barrage Of Instagram Memes (Forbes)
  6. Chemours Co (NYSE:CC): McIntyre 4Q19 commentary & long thesis (ValueWalk)
  7. ECRI Weekly Leading Index Update (Advisor Perspectives)
  8. Barron’s Picks And Pans: Berkshire Hathaway, Bitcoin, Roku And More ()
  9. ‘No Time To Die’: Hear Billie Eilish’s New ‘James Bond’ Theme Song and Watch a New Trailer (Men’s Journal)
  10. 2021 Aston Martin Vantage Roadster Has World’s Fastest Convertible Roof (Maxim)
  11. Banksy artwork pops up just in time for Valentine’s Day (Mashable)
  12. Is Trump’s Classical-Architecture Policy Authoritarian? (Manhattan Institute)
  13. Elon Musk Says He’s About to Deliver the Future of High-Speed Internet (Inc.)
  14. Coronavirus drug could start production this month: Peter Navarro (Fox Business)
  15. The Perils of “Survivorship Bias” (Scientific American)

 

 

The Chris Janson “Good Vibes” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…

This week’s Stock Market commentary and sentiment can best be described by country star Chris Janson’s song, “Good Vibes:”

I ain’t watchin’ TV today
Bad news, it can just stay away
If you ain’t got anything good to say
Then shut your mouth
I got my windows down and my blinders on
Radio set to my favorite song
All green lights on the road I’m on
Man, there ain’t no doubt

Continue reading “The Chris Janson “Good Vibes” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)…”

HFT VideoCast – Stock Market Commentary and Weekly Recap – Episode 11

Article referenced in VideoCast above:

The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • Jobs Report
  • Rig Count
  • Harold Hamm on Oil Prices
  • General stock market commentary.
  • Hemline Indicator
  • Valueline Geometric Index – Long Term Implications
  • Positioning and sentiment.
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Fed Liquidity.
  • AAII sentiment.
  • NAAIM positioning.
  • Earnings by Sectors: Energy, Gold Miners, REITs
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings.
  • Where to find value?  What’s Cheap?
  • India Small Caps
  • Commodities/CRB
  • Exploration & Production
  • Servicers?

Podcast – Hedge Fund Tips with Tom Hayes – Episode 2

Article referenced in podcast above:

The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In this episode we cover:

  • Jobs Report
  • Rig Count
  • Harold Hamm on Oil Prices
  • General stock market commentary.
  • Hemline Indicator
  • Valueline Geometric Index – Long Term Implications
  • Positioning and sentiment.
  • Increased Guidance on tap?
  • Fed Liquidity.
  • AAII sentiment.
  • NAAIM positioning.
  • Earnings by Sectors: Energy, Gold Miners, REITs
  • S&P and Euro Stoxx 600 earnings.
  • Where to find value?  What’s Cheap?
  • India Small Caps
  • Commodities/CRB
  • Exploration & Production
  • Servicers?

The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)

In 2001, the band CAKE released their hit song, “Short Skirt, Long Jacket.”  If you replace the word “girl” for “stock market” (in the lyrics below) you’ll see the commonalities with today’s investor. Continue reading “The CAKE “Short Skirt, Long Jacket” Stock Market (and Sentiment Results)”